“If you don’t have legitimacy, then you need 1984.”
Professor David Betz of King’s College London’s Department of War Studies argues that a perfect storm of social, economic and political grievances has made civil war “inevitable” in some Western nations.
He suggests that the West’s deepest crisis is not foreign enemies but the collapse of legitimacy, trust and social cohesion at home. Moving from 9/11 and 7/7 through the War on Terror, Brexit and COVID, he explains how technological change and elite overreach have pushed Western societies along a continuum from genuine consent through soft propaganda toward forced compliance.
“Legitimacy is just like a magic spell – when it stops working, everything gets very expensive very fast.”
In his view, kakistocratic misrule has burned through social capital, leaving states increasingly reliant on surveillance laws, censorship and information control in a drift toward totalitarian governance. A mounting crisis of confidence in frightened, incoherent elites has created “close to ideal…conditions for civil rupture in many Western countries”.
Is such a rupture now unavoidable, or is there still a way to pull out of the tailspin before gravity wins and we all lose?
Check out Professor Betz’s books:
The Guarded Age: Fortification in the Twenty-First Century
Carnage and Connectivity: Landmarks in the Decline of Conventional Military Power
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